Compliance & Methodology

1. Educational purpose

USD Impact exists to explain how the U.S. dollar interacts with global financial markets. All content on this website — including articles, videos, frameworks, checklists, guides, glossary entries, downloadable materials, reports, and quantitative model outputs — is produced for educational and informational purposes only.

The site teaches conceptual frameworks, historical relationships, and analytical structures. It is designed to help readers understand macro-finance dynamics, not to instruct them on what to buy, sell, or hold.

2. Not financial advice

Nothing on USD Impact constitutes investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, tax advice, or legal advice. No content on this site should be read as a personal recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or transact in any financial instrument, asset, commodity, currency, or security.

USD Impact is not a licensed financial adviser, broker, dealer, investment manager, or regulated financial service in any jurisdiction. Readers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any financial decision.

3. No trading signals

USD Impact does not provide trading signals, entry or exit recommendations, price targets, forecast certainty, or any form of market prediction. Any reference to historical patterns, correlations, or regime-based relationships is strictly for educational illustration.

Past relationships between assets, rates, currencies, and macro variables are not a reliable predictor of future performance.

4. Source methodology

Editorial and factual sourcing

We prioritise primary sources for factual claims about markets, rates, policy, and economic data. Our preferred sources include:

• Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) — monetary policy, balance sheet, Broad Dollar Index
• U.S. Treasury (home.treasury.gov) — yield curve, debt data
• FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (fred.stlouisfed.org) — economic data series
• BIS, Bank for International Settlements (bis.org) — global banking and FX data
• IMF, International Monetary Fund (imf.org) — global economic data
• World Bank (worldbank.org) — development and trade data
• ECB, European Central Bank (ecb.europa.eu) — European monetary data
• BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) — U.S. employment and inflation
• BEA, Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov) — U.S. GDP and national accounts
• EIA, U.S. Energy Information Administration (eia.gov) — energy data
• CME Group (cmegroup.com) — futures and commodity reference information
• ICE (ice.com) — market and credit-index reference information
• CBOE (cboe.com) — volatility reference information

Secondary sources — including Reuters, Bloomberg, Financial Times, and Wall Street Journal — are used where primary data is not directly accessible. We do not rely on anonymous blogs, unsourced newsletters, or social media posts as factual sources.

Quantitative model input providers

The production USD Impact Score uses a separately documented, deterministic input contract. Six price-based market series are currently obtained through Yahoo Finance using the published identifiers DX-Y.NYB, CL=F, ^GSPC, ^VIX, BTC-USD, and GC=F. Two U.S. Treasury yield series are obtained through FRED.

Yahoo Finance is used here as an accessible and reproducible market-data proxy. It is not represented as an exchange-official, primary-source, or licensed institutional market-data feed. Exact tickers, fields, adjustment rules, timing conventions, missing-data handling, transformations, limitations, and reproducibility materials are disclosed in the USD Impact Score methodology.

This distinction is intentional: the source hierarchy above governs editorial and factual research, while the Score’s machine-reproducible market inputs are governed by the published quantitative methodology and data contract. If a model input provider changes, the methodology version and relevant reproducibility records must identify that change.

5. Data limitations

Market data, rates, yields, prices, and economic statistics change continuously. Where we reference specific data points, we aim to include the date of that data. Readers should treat any figures on this site as illustrative of historical conditions unless a publication explicitly provides an observation timestamp.

USD Impact does not operate a real-time market-data feed. Quantitative Score inputs are collected on the cadence and under the timestamp rules disclosed in the Score methodology; they should not be treated as live quotes. For current trading or market data, readers should use an appropriate primary source or licensed data provider.

Public or third-party data can be revised, corrected, delayed, unavailable, or defined differently across providers. Archived USD Impact releases preserve the applicable methodology and recorded inputs so that later source revisions can be distinguished from information available at publication time where the relevant vintage controls apply.

6. Regime-dependent relationships

Relationships between the U.S. dollar, interest rates, inflation, liquidity, and asset prices are not fixed. They are regime-dependent — they can strengthen, weaken, reverse, or disappear entirely as macro conditions, policy frameworks, geopolitical circumstances, and market structure change over time.

Any framework, checklist, or analysis published on USD Impact reflects an educational structure for thinking about these relationships — not a claim that any pattern will persist or repeat.

7. Model outputs and research claims

A USD Impact Score, regime label, diagnostic, benchmark, or historical test is a model output, not a factual market observation and not a trading recommendation. The model’s assumptions, weights, thresholds, transformations, and validation limits are documented separately so readers can inspect and challenge them.

Where USD Impact discusses prospective or predictive research, preregistration, frozen specifications, immutable release records, and eventual outcomes are kept distinct from retrospective historical analysis. No pending or incomplete study is presented as established predictive performance.

8. User responsibility

Readers use the material on USD Impact at their own discretion. We encourage independent research, critical thinking, reproduction of published calculations where possible, and professional consultation before making any financial decision. USD Impact accepts no liability for decisions made on the basis of content published on this site, subject to liability that cannot legally be excluded.

9. Corrections and contact

If you identify a factual error, broken source link, model reproducibility problem, or content that appears to misrepresent data or relationships, please contact us. We are committed to correcting errors promptly while preserving an appropriate record of material methodology or publication changes.