About & transparency

Who is behind USD Impact?

USD Impact is an early-stage educational macro-finance project operated by a named Romanian company. This page separates verified facts, first-party disclosures and claims that have not been established.

Legal operator

SC Kela Leads SRL

Jurisdiction
Romania
Unique identification code
CUI 40790448
Trade Register number
J38/820/2020
Contact
support@usd-impact.com

Evidence level: first-party legal disclosure, consistent across the Terms, Privacy Notice and Refund Policy. A current electronically issued ONRC company certificate has not yet been reviewed for this public verification record, so these identifiers are not represented as independently or officially verified. The authenticated acquisition and comparison are tracked in Issue #341. The official source is the Romanian National Trade Register Office portal.

Founder & authorial lead

Mircea Albulescu

Mircea Albulescu is the founder and authorial lead behind USD Impact and Read the Dollar First. SC Kela Leads SRL is the accountable service provider and publisher for the project.

Evidence level: high-confidence first-party identity disclosure. USD Impact has not yet published an independent identity attestation, third-party executive profile or notarized verification, so this should not be represented as independently verified.

Official registry verification

ONRC certificate review is pending.

USD Impact does not treat an official portal link or internally consistent company identifiers as equivalent to reviewing a current signed registry document. The next step is to obtain the company certificate through ONRC InfoCert-Recom, compare the legal name, CUI and current registration number, review the registered office privately, retain the signed original in company-controlled storage, and record only privacy-safe verification evidence.

Evidence register

Direct answers to due-diligence questions

QuestionPublic answerStatus
Legal entity operating USD ImpactSC Kela Leads SRL, Romania; CUI 40790448; Trade Register J38/820/2020. These are first-party legal-operator disclosures.First-party disclosed
Current official ONRC company certificateNot yet reviewed for this public verification record. Acquisition and privacy-safe comparison are tracked in Issue #341. Until completed, USD Impact does not claim ONRC, registry or independent verification of the operator identifiers.Pending
Founder / author identityMircea Albulescu, founder and authorial lead.First-party disclosed
Exact product revenue and customersNot publicly disclosed. USD Impact does not use revenue, customer-count or sales claims as social proof. Any future figures should be dated, scoped and separately verified before publication.Private
Complete historical sales reconstructionNo independently audited, all-channel historical sales reconstruction is published.Not established
Independent audited score performanceNo independent model-performance audit has been commissioned or completed.None
Meaningful predictive powerNot established and not claimed. Score v2 remains descriptive. A separate preregistered study will test one-week DXY direction prospectively, but no result exists before 52 resolved future predictions.Not established
Full mathematical methodologyThe variables, signed weights, normalization, clipping, missing-data rules, thresholds and limitations are public.Published
Historical-score revisionsYes. Full-sample normalization and provider revisions can change recalculated history. Dated archives preserve what was published, and the revision audit compares each valid archive's latest reading with the same week in the current recalculation.Published
Genuine predictive out-of-sample testPreregistered before the holdout, with the first untouched origin on August 28, 2026. It fixes a one-week DXY target, 52 resolved predictions, two comparators and an all-conditions-required success rule. It has not started and has no result.Preregistered; pending
Reproducibility roadmap

What is fixed, and what remains

PriorityActionCurrent statusWhy it matters
HighPublish as-published versus recalculated historical vintagesPublished in JSON and CSV. Valid archived readings are compared with current recalculations; invalid legacy archives are explicitly reported and excluded rather than rewritten.Prevents hindsight ambiguity.
HighSpecify fields, futures rolls, holidays and timestampsPublished as a machine-readable contract.Defines the exact replication boundary.
HighArchive raw inputs and calculation outputsStrengthened for strict releases from August 28, 2026: one same-run provider snapshot feeds the score and reproduction bundle. The release week's levels and calculation moments are frozen alongside per-driver and complete-matrix SHA-256 fingerprints for both provider-derived daily histories before forward fill and the complete weekly matrix. Complete raw provider responses remain unarchived and are not publicly redistributed; the conservative boundary is documented in the source-retention policy.Detects later daily or weekly input-history changes while respecting data-provider boundaries.
HighRun a genuine predictive out-of-sample studyProtocol preregistered and collector/evaluator locked before the first origin. Weekly evidence PRs cannot merge themselves. The formal result requires 52 consecutive resolved predictions and is expected no earlier than August 27, 2027 if no week is missed.Tests the narrow predictive claim without hindsight or backfill.
HighCompare future descriptive Score v3 candidates prospectivelyFour candidate specifications were preregistered, their metrics were fixed, and the research implementation was hash-locked before the first prospective week on August 28, 2026. Reviews at 13, 26 and 39 weeks may identify integrity defects only; no candidate can be selected before 52 completed future weeks. Score v2 remains the unchanged production methodology, and promotion would require a separate public review and production change.Tests normalization stability and contribution concentration without silently replacing production or creating a predictive claim.
MediumComponent and leave-one-out diagnosticsPublished in the robustness research.Reveals concentration and dependence.
MediumSign-sensitivity analysisPublished in the current robustness research.Tests directional assumptions.
MediumScore-distribution and regime-duration chartsResearch summaries are published; charts are implemented for the next generated weekly dashboard.Shows how the indicator behaves in practice.
LowAdd alternative data vendorsNot implemented; equivalence criteria are documented before any source change.Improves long-term resilience.
Bottom line

Transparent, reproducible and deliberately limited.

USD Impact can make a credible claim to a public formula, visible revision policy, dated publication archive, expanding robustness evidence and a predictive study registered before its holdout. It can also make a first-party legal-operator disclosure, while clearly showing that current ONRC certificate review remains pending. It cannot yet make a credible claim to independent operator verification, independently audited score performance, predictive power or a completed predictive out-of-sample result. Those boundaries are part of the project record, not footnotes.