Observe
Read the dated source-bound facts without seeing the deterministic dial classifications.
Publication gate
Latest published completed-week evidence
Snapshot week: 2026-10-23
Using the latest published completed-week snapshot for 2026-10-23.
Each fact retains its own observation date. If the snapshot falls outside the approved publication cadence, the comparison controls fail closed.
Classify
Set broad-dollar direction, real-rate pressure, funding pressure and your dominant-driver hypothesis.
Explain
Write what supports the reading and what would challenge it.
Compare
Reveal the three deterministic dial classifications. Compare with the separate Score product only after completing the Three Dials exercise.
Return
Use disagreement to select the next chapter, source or Weekly report to review.
Observe first
Completed-week source evidence
The facts and changes are visible before submission. Deterministic direction labels, confidence labels and the published interpretation remain out of view until you record your own reading.
Dial 1 — Broad USD direction evidence
FED_BROAD_USDFederal Reserve nominal broad dollar index
-0.07%- Previous
- 121.4048 · 2026-10-16
- Latest
- 121.3202 · 2026-10-23
Federal Reserve Board H.10 nominal broad dollar index. FRED is used only as the transport selected by the Board as a DDP successor path.
Open sourceDial 2 — Real-rate evidence
FED_10Y_REAL_YIELD10-year inflation-indexed Treasury constant-maturity yield
-8 bp- Previous
- 2.74% · 2026-10-16
- Latest
- 2.66% · 2026-10-23
Federal Reserve Board H.15 10-year inflation-indexed Treasury constant-maturity yield.
Open sourceDial 3 — Funding-pressure evidence
SOFR_IORB_SPREADSOFR minus IORB funding spread
+4 bp- Previous
- -2 bp · 2026-10-16
- Latest
- 2 bp · 2026-10-23
USD Impact derived calculation: SOFR minus IORB in basis points. It is a funding-pressure indicator, not a credit spread or a complete liquidity/stress measure.
Open sourceIndependent reading
Build the regime sentence first
The lab compares only the three deterministic dials. Your dominant-driver hypothesis is recorded for reflection but deliberately left unscored.
Comparison result
deterministic dials aligned with the completed-week reference.
Deterministic three-dial reference
- Dollar
- Mixed / neutral
- Real rates
- falling
- Funding pressure
- tightening
The reference maps the existing deterministic Three-Dials logic into the reader-facing choices. Rangebound, flat and contained states map to the neutral/mixed choice rather than being forced directional. The legacy form field name remains internal only; the public v2 dial is Funding pressure.
Review the dial differences
Your browser-local reading
Driver hypothesis: · not scored
Confidence: · not scored
Separate product
Compare with USD Impact Score v2 separately
The Score is not part of the Three Dials v2 snapshot and has separate source governance. Use it as an independent cross-asset comparison, not as an answer key.
Book connection
Chapter 11: The Weekly Operating Framework
Chapter 11 explains why the weekly framework must force sequence: start with the driver, record dollar direction, real rates and liquidity stress, then add asset-specific evidence.
Open the Chapter 11 companionExplanatory layer
How to use this tool
Weekly Regime Lab
Question answered
Can the reader form a disciplined weekly regime read from dated evidence before seeing the deterministic classifications and separate Score output?
Why it matters
Recording the three dials, dominant-driver hypothesis and conditional explanation before comparison reduces anchoring and turns Chapter 11 into a repeatable practice routine.
Inputs
- Dated Federal Reserve broad-dollar observation
- Dated 10-year real-yield observation
- Dated SOFR-minus-IORB funding-pressure observation, plus a browser-local driver hypothesis and conditional written reading
Data cadence and timestamp
Latest repository-published completed-week Three-Dials snapshot with an exact-week Score bridge. No market data is retrieved in the browser.
Use it in three steps
- Read the dated facts and record the three dials plus an unscored dominant-driver hypothesis.
- Write what supports the reading and what would challenge it before seeing any deterministic labels.
- Submit the browser-local reading, compare only the three deterministic dials, then inspect the separate exact-week Score output and return to the relevant chapter or Weekly report.
When the evidence agrees
- Use aligned, partly aligned or materially different for the three deterministic dials rather than correct or incorrect.
- Agreement shows process coherence, not predictive accuracy; the dominant-driver hypothesis remains unscored.
When the evidence diverges
- A broad-dollar disagreement points back to the dollar-measure discussion in Chapter 3.
- A real-rate or funding-pressure disagreement points back to Chapter 11 and the relevant primary evidence.
- A driver disagreement is not machine-scored; compare the hypothesis qualitatively with the Weekly report and transmission framework.
Limitations
- The evidence is a dated completed-week repository snapshot, not real-time market data.
- No classification, confidence selection, driver hypothesis or written response is stored or transmitted.
- Only the three deterministic dials are compared; the driver hypothesis is deliberately unscored.
- The exact-week USD Impact Score v2 is revealed separately and is not an answer key, forecast or trading signal.