About & transparency

Who is behind USD Impact?

USD Impact is an early-stage educational macro-finance project operated by a named Romanian company. This page separates verified facts, first-party disclosures and claims that have not been established.

Legal operator

KELA LEADS S.R.L.

Jurisdiction: Romania
Legal form: Societate cu Răspundere Limitată (S.R.L.)
Unique identification code: CUI 40790448
Trade Register number: J38/820/2020
European Unique Identifier: ROONRC.J38/820/2020
Company status: Funcțiune (active)
Registered business address: Str. Doctor Hacman nr. 28, bl. 83, sc. B, ap. 9, 240232 Râmnicu Vâlcea, România
Contact: support@usd-impact.com

Evidence level: checked on August 28, 2026 against an electronically signed ONRC Certificat constatator issued on August 27, 2026 (report 3178140). The certificate matches the exact legal name, CUI, current Trade Register number and registered-office components published by USD Impact, and records the company status as funcțiune. The original is retained privately and is not published because it contains unnecessary personal and KYB data. This is a narrow company-record verification, not an independent audit, assurance engagement or ONRC endorsement. Privacy-safe evidence is recorded in Issue #341. The official source is the Romanian National Trade Register Office portal.

Founder & authorial lead

Mircea Albulescu

Mircea Albulescu is the founder and authorial lead behind USD Impact and Read the Dollar First. KELA LEADS S.R.L. is the accountable service provider and publisher for the project.

Evidence level: high-confidence first-party identity disclosure. USD Impact has not yet published an independent identity attestation, third-party executive profile or notarized verification, so this should not be represented as independently verified.

Official registry verification

The company record has been checked.

USD Impact reviewed the current electronically signed ONRC certificate, corrected the public operator name to the exact registered form, and found no conflict in the CUI, current registration number, company status or registered-office components. The retained source document is not a public marketing asset: only the issue date, report number, file hash and privacy-safe comparison results are recorded publicly.

Open official ONRC portal View verification tracker

Evidence register

Direct answers to due-diligence questions

Question	Public answer	Status
Legal entity operating USD Impact	KELA LEADS S.R.L., Romania; CUI 40790448; Trade Register J38/820/2020; EUID ROONRC.J38/820/2020. These fields were checked against the current ONRC certificate described below.	Official record checked
Current official ONRC company certificate	Electronically signed Certificat constatator, report 3178140, issued August 27, 2026 and reviewed August 28, 2026. Privacy-safe evidence and the retained-file SHA-256 are recorded in Issue #341; the source PDF is kept private.	Reviewed
Founder / author identity	Mircea Albulescu, founder and authorial lead.	First-party disclosed
Exact product revenue and customers	Not publicly disclosed. USD Impact does not use revenue, customer-count or sales claims as social proof. Any future figures should be dated, scoped and separately verified before publication.	Private
Complete historical sales reconstruction	No independently audited, all-channel historical sales reconstruction is published.	Not established
Independent audited score performance	No independent model-performance audit has been commissioned or completed.	None
Meaningful predictive power	Not established and not claimed. Score v2 remains descriptive. A separate preregistered study will test one-week DXY direction prospectively, but no result exists before 52 resolved future predictions.	Not established
Full mathematical methodology	The variables, signed weights, normalization, clipping, missing-data rules, thresholds and limitations are public.	Published
Historical-score revisions	Yes. Full-sample normalization and provider revisions can change recalculated history. Dated archives preserve what was published, and the revision audit compares each valid archive's latest reading with the same week in the current recalculation.	Published
Genuine predictive out-of-sample test	Preregistered before the holdout, with the first untouched origin on August 28, 2026. It fixes a one-week DXY target, 52 resolved predictions, two comparators and an all-conditions-required success rule. It has not started and has no result.	Preregistered; pending

Reproducibility roadmap

What is fixed, and what remains

Priority	Action	Current status	Why it matters
High	Publish as-published versus recalculated historical vintages	Published in JSON and CSV. Valid archived readings are compared with current recalculations; invalid legacy archives are explicitly reported and excluded rather than rewritten.	Prevents hindsight ambiguity.
High	Specify fields, futures rolls, holidays and timestamps	Published as a machine-readable contract.	Defines the exact replication boundary.
High	Archive raw inputs and calculation outputs	Strengthened for strict releases from August 28, 2026: one same-run provider snapshot feeds the score and reproduction bundle. The release week's levels and calculation moments are frozen alongside per-driver and complete-matrix SHA-256 fingerprints for both provider-derived daily histories before forward fill and the complete weekly matrix. Complete raw provider responses remain unarchived and are not publicly redistributed; the conservative boundary is documented in the source-retention policy.	Detects later daily or weekly input-history changes while respecting data-provider boundaries.
High	Run a genuine predictive out-of-sample study	Protocol preregistered and collector/evaluator locked before the first origin. Weekly evidence PRs cannot merge themselves. The formal result requires 52 consecutive resolved predictions and is expected no earlier than August 27, 2027 if no week is missed.	Tests the narrow predictive claim without hindsight or backfill.
High	Compare future descriptive Score v3 candidates prospectively	Four candidate specifications were preregistered, their metrics were fixed, and the research implementation was hash-locked before the first prospective week on August 28, 2026. Reviews at 13, 26 and 39 weeks may identify integrity defects only; no candidate can be selected before 52 completed future weeks. Score v2 remains the unchanged production methodology, and promotion would require a separate public review and production change.	Tests normalization stability and contribution concentration without silently replacing production or creating a predictive claim.
Medium	Component and leave-one-out diagnostics	Published in the robustness research.	Reveals concentration and dependence.
Medium	Sign-sensitivity analysis	Published in the current robustness research.	Tests directional assumptions.
Medium	Score-distribution and regime-duration charts	Research summaries are published; charts are implemented for the next generated weekly dashboard.	Shows how the indicator behaves in practice.
Low	Add alternative data vendors	Not implemented; equivalence criteria are documented before any source change.	Improves long-term resilience.

Bottom line

Transparent, reproducible and deliberately limited.

USD Impact can make a credible claim to a public formula, visible revision policy, dated publication archive, expanding robustness evidence, a predictive study registered before its holdout, and a legal-operator record checked against a current electronically signed ONRC certificate. It cannot expand that company-record check into an independent identity attestation, an ONRC endorsement, independently audited score performance, predictive power or a completed predictive out-of-sample result. Those boundaries are part of the project record, not footnotes.