Chapter 11 Practice Preview

Weekly Regime Lab

Read the dated completed-week evidence, record the three dials and your dominant-driver hypothesis, then compare only the deterministic dials.

Dated completed-week evidence · not real-time. Your classifications, confidence and written reading stay in this browser and are not transmitted.

Publication gate

Latest published completed-week evidence

Snapshot week: 2026-09-04

Using the latest published completed-week snapshot for 2026-09-04.

Each fact retains its own observation date. If the snapshot falls outside the approved publication cadence, the comparison controls fail closed.

1

Observe

Read the dated source-bound facts without seeing the deterministic dial classifications.

2

Classify

Set dollar direction, real-rate pressure, liquidity stress and your dominant-driver hypothesis.

3

Explain

Write what supports the reading and what would challenge it.

4

Compare

Reveal the three deterministic dial classifications and the separate exact-week Score output.

5

Return

Use disagreement to select the next chapter, source or Weekly report to review.

Observe first

Completed-week source evidence

The facts and changes are visible before submission. Deterministic direction labels, confidence labels, the model output and the published interpretation remain out of view until you record your own reading.

Dial 1 — Dollar direction evidence

DXYU.S. Dollar Index (DXY proxy)
-0.54%
Previous
99.70 · 2026-08-28
Latest
99.16 · 2026-09-04

Accessible/reproducible Yahoo Finance proxy for DX-Y.NYB; not represented as exchange-official or a licensed institutional feed.

Open source
DTWEXBGSNominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index
0.00%
Previous
118.7479 · 2026-08-28
Latest
118.7479 · 2026-08-28

Federal Reserve H.10 broad-dollar confirmation inside Dial 1; it is not a separate fourth dial.

Open source

Dial 2 — Real-rate evidence

DFII1010-year TIPS real yield
0 bp
Previous
2.42% · 2026-08-28
Latest
2.42% · 2026-09-03

10-year inflation-indexed Treasury yield; the primary real-rate observation for Dial 2.

Open source
DGS1010-year nominal Treasury yield
+4 bp
Previous
4.73% · 2026-08-28
Latest
4.77% · 2026-09-03

Nominal 10-year Treasury yield shown only as rate context for Dial 2.

Open source

Dial 3 — Liquidity-stress evidence

BAMLH0A0HYM2ICE BofA U.S. High Yield option-adjusted spread
+5 bp
Previous
2.60% · 2026-08-28
Latest
2.65% · 2026-09-03

ICE BofA series displayed through FRED. Only the two observations used by this snapshot are republished.

Open source
VIXCLSCBOE Volatility Index: VIX
-0.11 pts
Previous
14.43 · 2026-08-28
Latest
14.32 · 2026-09-03

CBOE VIX displayed through FRED. Only the two observations used by this snapshot are republished.

Open source
SOFR_IORB_SPREADSOFR minus IORB funding spread
0 bp
Previous
0 bp · 2026-08-28
Latest
0 bp · 2026-09-04

Derived as SOFR minus IORB (FRED series IORB) in basis points. It is funding context, not a standalone liquidity measure.

Open source
Independent reading

Build the regime sentence first

The lab compares only the three deterministic dials. Your dominant-driver hypothesis is recorded for reflection but deliberately left unscored.

Book connection

Chapter 11: The Weekly Operating Framework

Chapter 11 explains why the weekly framework must force sequence: start with the driver, record dollar direction, real rates and liquidity stress, then add asset-specific evidence.

Open the Chapter 11 companion
Explanatory layer

How to use this tool

Weekly Regime Lab

Existing USD Impact tool

Question answered

Can the reader form a disciplined weekly regime read from dated evidence before seeing the deterministic classifications and separate Score output?

Why it matters

Recording the three dials, dominant-driver hypothesis and conditional explanation before comparison reduces anchoring and turns Chapter 11 into a repeatable practice routine.

Inputs

  • Dated DXY and broad-dollar observations
  • Dated real-yield and nominal-rate context
  • Dated credit, volatility and funding-stress evidence, plus a browser-local driver hypothesis and conditional written reading

Data cadence and timestamp

Latest repository-published completed-week Three-Dials snapshot with an exact-week Score bridge. No market data is retrieved in the browser.

Show the snapshot week and every source observation date. Keep the normal Monday/Tuesday publication window explicit, and disable deterministic comparison if the snapshot is outside the approved cadence.

Use it in three steps

  1. Read the dated facts and record the three dials plus an unscored dominant-driver hypothesis.
  2. Write what supports the reading and what would challenge it before seeing any deterministic labels.
  3. Submit the browser-local reading, compare only the three deterministic dials, then inspect the separate exact-week Score output and return to the relevant chapter or Weekly report.

When the evidence agrees

  • Use aligned, partly aligned or materially different for the three deterministic dials rather than correct or incorrect.
  • Agreement shows process coherence, not predictive accuracy; the dominant-driver hypothesis remains unscored.

When the evidence diverges

  • A dollar disagreement points back to Chapter 3.
  • A real-rate or liquidity disagreement points back to Chapter 11 and the relevant primary evidence.
  • A driver disagreement is not machine-scored; compare the hypothesis qualitatively with the Weekly report and transmission framework.

Limitations

  • The evidence is a dated completed-week repository snapshot, not real-time market data.
  • No classification, confidence selection, driver hypothesis or written response is stored or transmitted.
  • Only the three deterministic dials are compared; the driver hypothesis is deliberately unscored.
  • The exact-week USD Impact Score v2 is revealed separately and is not an answer key, forecast or trading signal.
Compliance note: Educational and informational only. The Weekly Regime Lab compares browser-local classifications with dated deterministic dial states. The dominant-driver hypothesis, confidence and written response are unscored and untransmitted. The separate Score v2 output is not an answer key, forecast, recommendation, suitability assessment or trading signal.